politics @lemmy.worldEnglish · 1 year ago

How Popular Does Biden Need to Be to Beat Trump? Not Very.

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How Popular Does Biden Need to Be to Beat Trump? Not Very.

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politics @lemmy.worldEnglish · 1 year ago

189

Presiding over an unhappy nation makes reelection hard for any president. But running against Trump makes it easier for Biden.

Given the current state of partisan polarization, it’s unlikely Biden can get majority job approval next year even with the most fortunate set of circumstances. But the good news for him is that he probably doesn’t have to. Job-approval ratings are crucial indicators in a normal presidential reelection cycle that is basically a referendum on the incumbent’s record. Assuming Trump is the Republican nominee, 2024 will not be a normal reelection cycle for three reasons.

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1 year ago
Porque no los dos?

Do you have a link to the study? Very interested in challenging my priors on this one as I currently very strongly favor means testing as a concept.

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