Image is from the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists’ recent article on Kashmir.


It looks like the spat between India and Pakistan could be dying down, due to a new ceasefire. As of the time of me writing this paragraph, it seems both sides want to maintain it (despite some reports of violations here and there).

Both sides have declared victory, which is completely expected given their mutual political parties and nationalist histories. It’s a little harder to say which side has actually won, as both sides seem to have managed to shoot down aircraft and hit military bases. India has, in my opinion, had the more embarrassing moments, but international conflicts aren’t cringe compilations. I feel no good-will towards Pakistan’s comprador government, but it is at least nice to see Modi knocked down a few pegs. Regardless of the final technical victor, it’s obvious that - if the ceasefire is maintained - who won are the hundreds of millions of people who won’t have to live in fear of dying in nuclear hellfire.

This conflict is a good example of what multipolarity will truly entail. Countries that have been previously limited in their nationalist ambitions by American pressure will now take opportunities to revolt, sometimes against America itself, and sometimes against other countries in their regional neighbourhood. It’s also why, as communists, our goals do not stop at multipolarity; it is merely the establishing act of a new era of agitation against peripheral and semi-peripheral capitalist countries that are forming powerful national bourgeoisie classes as the international American capitalists are forced away.


Last week’s thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    Civil Registry Law: Cuba could allow legal sex change without surgery or court order. Cuba will debate a bill to allow sex change in documents without surgery or court ruling. The measure faces criticism for not including non-binary people and for possible practical limitations.

    The change, presented as an advance by authorities and pro-government activists, comes in the midst of a strong economic crisis, with the health system unable to guarantee gender reassignment operations that were already allowed by the Cuban State. The proposal was detailed in an article published by Cubadebate. The draft bill has been reviewed by the National Center for Sex Education (CENESEX), headed by Mariela Castro, who complained that it is not yet sufficiently advanced because it contemplates the designations of female and male, without including non-binary groups.

    The announcement coincides with the celebration of the so-called “conga against homophobia” that took place on Saturday in El Vedado. The mobilization was authorized and led by the government. Hundreds of people carried banners with slogans such as “Socialism yes, transphobia no”. “As a trans person I am advocating for a gender identity law,” Yoilán Balón told The Associated Press. The demand is evidence of the fundamental shortcomings, because Cuba still lacks comprehensive legislation on this issue.

    Currently, in Cuba it is only possible to change the registered sex after genital reassignment surgery, a procedure paralyzed in practice by the lack of resources of the health system.

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    Uruguayan dictatorship members to be tried in jail - Prensa Latina

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    Montevideo, May 13 (Prensa Latina) The specialized prosecutor for Crimes against Humanity, Ricardo Perciballe, requested the prosecution with imprisonment and the closing of borders for the former commander in chief of the Uruguayan Navy, Tabaré Daners, it was reported today.

    Perciballe filed the same claim for sailors Nelson Wander Olivera, Raúl Fernando Lecumberry and Eduardo José Mendoza. All of them are being investigated for the torture of 10 members of the Union of Communist Youth (UJC) and the Communist Party of Uruguay (PCU) in August 1977.

    In the document presented to the Justice the prosecutor points out that they were detained in the Fusileros Navales (Fusna), “interrogated and tortured so that they would admit their links to the referred structures, as well as to provide the names of other members”. The testimonies collected by the prosecutor give an account of the tortures they suffered while they were held in the Fusna.

    “There are two forms of torture, physical (cattle prods, hangings, waterboarding, clubbing, kicking) and then there is psychological torture, which they do not touch (…) We were all subjected to the same treatment, all of this happened in the Fusna,” said one of the witnesses. Perciballe requested the prosecution of Daners for crimes of serious injuries, deprivation of liberty and private violence against the detainees. Tabaré Daners appears as summary judge in several cases in which the complainants ended up being prosecuted by the so-called “military justice” with “absolutely spurious” and “fraudulent” sentences, says the document from the prosecutor’s office.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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    Ansar Allah movement has declared that new negotiations with the US will not affect its operations against Israel . This announcement comes on the heels of the recent Israeli bombing of Sana airport, which caused an estimated $500 million in damage

    • Telesur English
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    Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu says, ‘There will be no scenario in which we stop the war,’ adding that even if Hamas releases additional Israeli prisoners, IDF operations in Gaza will continue.

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    India denies Trump’s involvement in de-escalation with Pakistan - Prensa Latina

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    Foreign Ministry sources said there was no reference to trade in talks between U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance and Prime Minister Narendra Modi on May 9.

    They said there was also no reference to trade in talks after the launch of Operation Sindoor between U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Foreign Minister Subrahmanyan Jaishankar on May 8 and 10 and National Security Advisor Ajit Doval on May 10.

    On Saturday, India and Pakistan agreed to halt all firing and military actions on land, air and sea in talks between the director generals of military operations.

    A statement from the Indian foreign secretary confirmed that the decision was taken after a phone call from the Pakistani side and instructions were given to give effect to the agreement.

    In talks the previous day, in a second discussion between the military chiefs, issues related to the continuity of the commitment of both sides not to fire or initiate any aggressive or hostile action against each other were discussed.

    According to diplomatic sources in New Delhi, it was also agreed that both sides would consider immediate measures to ensure troop reductions at borders and forward areas.

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    President Abbas Reaffirms Rejection of Forced Palestinian Displacement - Telesur English

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    Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas reaffirmed his rejection of all proposals for the forced displacement of Palestinians during a high-level meeting with Organization of Islamic Cooperation (OIC) Secretary General Hussein Ibrahim Taha on the sidelines of Victory Day celebrations in Moscow.

    A Call for Immediate Action on Gaza Abbas briefed the OIC on efforts to halt Israel’s military campaign, describing it as genocidal aggression targeting Palestinians in Gaza, the occupied West Bank, and Jerusalem. He emphasized the urgent priority of securing:

    The full withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza

    • Unimpeded entry of humanitarian aid
    • The return of displaced Palestinians
    • The commencement of Gaza’s reconstruction
    • Palestinian Sovereignty and Regional Stability
    • President Abbas expressed gratitude to the OIC for its unwavering support of Palestinian self-determination, reiterating the right of Palestinians to establish an independent state with East Jerusalem as its capital.

    Secretary General Hussein Ibrahim Taha reaffirmed the OIC’s commitment to Palestinian rights, condemning Israel’s ongoing offensive and stressing that the creation of an independent Palestinian state is vital for regional and global stability.

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    Lula da Silva calls for Latin American unity during China-Celac meeting - Prensa Latina

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    Beijing, May 13 (Prensa Latina) “No country can get ahead on its own,” Brazilian President Luis Inácio Lula da Silva emphasized here today, stressing that Latin America and the Caribbean must work together to overcome historic challenges. The president made this call during the opening of the IV Ministerial Meeting of the China-Celac Forum (Community of Latin American and Caribbean States), with the participation of his host, Xi Jinping, as well as other leaders of the region.

    In Lula’s opinion, Latin America faces a crossroads: to remain a region marked by poverty or to become a center of sustainable, inclusive and fair development. He called for avoiding mistakes made in 500 years of history, such as exploitation and confrontation between blocs.

    He added that the region should advocate for a multipolar order where developing countries have a voice and a vote in global affairs, while strengthening the South-South dialogue mechanism. Regarding ties with the Asian giant, he pondered the expansion of such ties over the last decade.

    “Currently, China is Brazil’s second largest trading partner and one of the most important partners for the region, with approximately 500 companies active in several Latin American countries,” he said.

    He explained that the resources coming from Chinese financial institutions exceed even the credit offered by the World Bank or, at least, are comparable.

    During the last decades, the boost in the export of raw materials has contributed to raising the region’s profile in the global economy, Lula added.

    The president considered that this economic flow has also allowed many countries to develop strategic projects in infrastructure, agriculture and energy. He also recalled Beijing’s support during Covid-19 and the vaccines supplied from here to protect millions of people in the region.

    “Challenges remain, however. The economic viability of many projects depends on better coordination among Latin American countries,” he stressed.

    Lula emphasized the importance of articulating common policies and facilitating the free movement of goods and services in LAC to take better advantage of initiatives such as the Belt and Road that promote the development of roads, railroads and digital networks.

    “Long-term prosperity requires strong and balanced economies. Latin America and the Caribbean seek to reduce economic and social asymmetries through inclusive policies and international collaborations,” he stressed.

    In this regard, he said that cooperation with China can contribute to strengthening local industry and foster technological innovation. “The development of digital technologies and artificial intelligence should not become the exclusive privilege of a few countries,” he opined. According to Lula, a transition to low-carbon economies requires universal access to clean technologies, especially in vulnerable regions such as Latin America and the Caribbean.

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    Venezuela: Maduro Meets Putin, Xi, Traoré in Moscow During Commemorations of Victory over Nazi Germany - Venezuela Analysis

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    Venezuela and Russia signed a 10-year agreement establishing stronger bilateral ties and closer cooperation on energy matters. Mexico City, Mexico, May 9, 2025 (venezuelanalysis.com) – Venezuela and Russia signed a comprehensive strategic partnership agreement on May 7 during President Nicolás Maduro’s official visit to Moscow.

    The 10-year Strategic Cooperation Agreement strengthens bilateral ties, covering key areas such as security, defense, trade, and technology, and a Glonass navigation station in Venezuela. The deal includes expanded initiatives on energy matters as part of both countries’ efforts to navigate US-led unilateral coercive measures, with a commitment to joint initiatives within multilateral energy organizations such as OPEC.

    Russian President Vladimir Putin and President Maduro also pledged closer cooperation between their countries at the United Nations in opposition to sanctions. The latest agreement, described by Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov as a “substantial” and “very important” framework, builds on over 350 existing agreements since 2019, and aims to boost economic resilience and counter Western sanctions through closer diplomatic and financial collaboration.

    Maduro was in the Russian capital to participate in official commemorations of the 80th anniversary of the Soviet Union’s victory over Nazi Germany in 1945. “Our presence here confirms that the path of humanity must be peace, understanding, respect for equality and is also an expression of the infinite historical admiration for the Russian people,” said Maduro during his appearance alongside Putin at the Grand Kremlin Palace.

    Among the attendees for the 80th anniversary commemorations were Chinese President Xi Jinping and Burkinabé President Ibrahim Traoré. From Latin America, Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel and Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva also travelled to Moscow for the historic event. Maduro and Díaz-Canel together laid a wreath at the monument of Latin American independence hero Simón Bolívar in the Russian capital.

    Maduro held a bilateral meeting with Burkina Faso’s Traoré on the sidelines of the official celebrations. The Venezuelan president also met with Head of the Chechen Republic Ramzan Kadyrov and Kazakhstan’s Kassym-Jomart Tokayev. Commemorations included a massive military parade on Red Square in the presence of dozens of world leaders on Friday, which Maduro described as “impressive and imposing.”

    “We give credit to members of the Resistance who bravely fought Nazism as well as the troops of the allied armies of the United States, Great Britain and other countries. We remember and honor the feat of Chinese soldiers in the fight against Japanese militarism,” said Putin at the start of the military parade.

    At a gala held a day earlier at the Grand Kremlin Palace, Maduro was seated next to Chinese President Xi. The two leaders later held high-level bilateral talks where Maduro celebrated the agreement establishing an “all-weather strategic partnership” between Beijing and Caracas.

    Vice President Delcy Rodríguez recently visited China as part of the country’s push for strengthened economic and political ties with China. The Asian giant is Venezuela’s main destination for crude exports.

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    Gabriel Boric defends multilateralism in China-Celac meeting - Prensa Latina

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    Boric spoke at the inauguration of the IV Meeting of Foreign Ministers of the China-Celac Forum (Community of Latin American and Caribbean States), where the heads of state of Brazil, Colombia and the host country, among other authorities, are participating.

    “From Chile, in these turbulent times, we come to reaffirm our deep conviction that free and fair trade for the benefit of our peoples is the path to progress and development of nations,” he said.

    The Chilean head of state defended the sovereign decision of each country to be able to decide with whom and when to trade, because trade -he affirmed- is the encounter between peoples and we want to meet with everyone and not have to opt for one or the other by imposition.

    Boric called for a leap in quality in economic ties with China, promoting technical meetings, business and high-level meetings, as well as activating policies, productive development, innovation, infrastructure, transportation, logistics and quality of human resources.

    In his speech, he highlighted the project for a bioceanic corridor that will link the Atlantic with the Pacific, passing through Brazil, Paraguay, Argentina and Chile. This will allow greater integration and connection between South America and Asia-Pacific, he added.

    The president warned that humanity is currently facing the dilemma of cooperate or perish, a phrase pronounced decades ago by Chilean diplomat Hernán Santa Cruz, which today resonates with full force.

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    El Salvador delayed in complying with IMF agreement - Prensa Latina

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    As agreed by the government, the deadline for the approval of the new law aimed at improving public finances, which was suspended during the Covid-19 pandemic, expired on May 9.

    The delay in the presentation of the regulation was aired by opposition deputies such as Claudia Ortiz, from Vamos, and Marcela Villatoro, from Arena, who stated that they have not received, for the moment, any draft or request for the new Fiscal Responsibility Law.

    The regulation is essential in the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) agreement with the IMF, for the financing of US$ 1.4 billion approved in February, and which will implement “more robust rules to improve budgetary accountability”.

    According to economist Rommel Rodríguez, of the National Foundation for Development (Funde), the approval cannot be ignored because it is a structural objective that serves as a basis for meeting other fiscal objectives.

    In an agreement where the fiscal issue is fundamental, I believe that it (the Fiscal Responsibility Law) cannot be ignored. It is a structural goal or objective, it is key and in extreme cases there would be an extension or a waiting period for the organization, he said.

    Meanwhile, for the former president of the Central Reserve Bank (BCR), economist Carlos Acevedo, the IMF does not usually like non-compliance with agreements, except for a good excuse, and suggested “reestablishing and adjusting the previous Fiscal Responsibility Law, which is quite good”.

    This law should be “approved as soon as possible, so as not to start making a mess of things before the IMF at the first opportunity”, he said.

    The agreement with the multilateral for a 1.4 billion dollar program starts with an immediate disbursement of 113 million dollars and includes a fiscal adjustment of 3.5 points of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for three years, starting with a tranche of 1.5 percentage points of the GDP for this year 2025.

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    biggus-piggus At a portuguese right-wing liberal party congress yesterday a climate activist threw green paint on the party leader Rui Rocha during his speech, something similar happened with the PM last year too.

    I’m sad to report that unfortunately he handled it pretty well, incredibly so in fact, almost assuring that this will not have any negative effect on the party.

    First one of the kids came up with a sign (“So our species doesn’t go extinct end fossil fuels 2030”) and Rocha immediatly stopped speaking, then another kid came up and Rocha moved towards him and held out his hand, the kid took it, they shook hands, they talked for a few seconds, which gives him the cover of having engaged with the kid’s concerns, and then the kid pulled out some green dust and busted on him. He has since said that he’ll auction the suit.

    If I were a more conspiriatorial guy I could say it was staged but having looked at this group for a while, and also heard from other leftists who know them personally or are involved with them what their intentions with these actions are, it’s never staged, these kids just theorize that they just have to get more and more attention on the issue of climate change, so they don’t factor in what obvious direct political effects these actions will have, including the increase in support to the people they attack because they’ve made themselves universally reviled, because they’re not in the politics business (that is in the pursuit of power by one mean or another) they’re in the awareness-raising business

    This party is very economically right-wing and anti-state intervention though so the disdain for them is warranted.

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    MoA on ukraine v Russia via the latest article by the only useful analyst with RUSI. Certified brainworm free. Most of this MoA is a frankly well deserved victory lap of correctly calling the war. The most notable part is the analysis of casualties, which is obviously subject to all the fog of war and propaganda. This guy estimates that ukraine has lost 5-6x the number of troops as Russia

    https://www.moonofalabama.org/2025/05/an-immediate-peace-is-the-best-one-ukraine-can-get.html#more

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      Ngl I was a little sus since it does seem like a personal blog but the details are meticulously cited. It is truly damning for Zelensky to claim 40,000 dead when the realistic figures could be nearly 20 times that number.

      Good god they’re genuinely fucked. The cocaine commander’s only chance of avoiding a dose of polonium within the next decade is if he gets a peace deal done before the AFR forces him into exile.

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        Ukraine is done for as a country. The high casualties are in part caused by the austria-hungary inspired tactic of throwing your men at fortified positions. Like all across the russian border they do that.

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          Yeah they mention that in the reports. Bakhmut, Avdiivka, Kursk, all massive wastes of resources for an army that should’ve been reinforcing its back lines just as Russia did in 2022

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    The New York Times has released a detailed report on why Trump prematurely ended the bombing campaign on Yemen. The article states the following:

    After 30 days of strikes, Trump wanted a status report on Yemen. The status report concluded that the U.S. had failed to achieve air superiority, that drones were being shot down at an unprecedented rate, and that the U.S. had spent over a Billion dollars in the first month alone.

    Omani officials told Steve Witkoff that the U.S. would be offered a way out of the campaign, but only if Trump agreed to direct talks with Yemen that did not include Israel, to which the President agreed. Saudi Arabia provided the U.S. with a list of 12 Houthi officials to assassinate, in order to ‘cripple’ the Yemeni movement. None were killed.

    Several F-16 and F-35 jets were almost shot down by Houthi air defenses, marking a significant threat to American lives and elevating worries about a possible future confrontation with Iran. The U.S. used many advanced precision ammunitions, including bunker busters, but it had very little effect on Houthi infrastructure.

    U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth tried to convince Saudi Arabia and the UAE to sponsor a renewed ground offensive in Yemen, but they declined.

    • Telegram
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      Lmfao the first F-35 going down to a hilux-launched R-60, or better yet a Chinese-made MANPADS wouldve had Boeing going for Trump’s scalp before we stopped laughing about it

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      Insane thing to throw in at the end there. “Hey Saudi Arabia, our massive bombing campaign isn’t doing shit, can you go boots on the ground?”

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        9am shit-faced off Mr.Boston texting the leader of Saudi Arabia marked as “$Emperor$” in your contacts and asking them to do a land invasion.

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      Omani officials told Steve Witkoff that the U.S. would be offered a way out of the campaign, but only if Trump agreed to direct talks with Yemen that did not include Israel

      W Omani officials

      The U.S. used many advanced precision ammunitions, including bunker busters, but it had very little effect on Houthi infrastructure.

      Would’ve helped if they actually targeted Houthi infrastructure instead of civilian infrastructure.

    • Staines [they/them]@hexbear.net
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      The US sure showed Yemen why they don’t have free healthcare (because they are a decaying empire that doesn’t care about it’s people).

      Congrats on the Yemeni people’s second victory, and I hope they are preparing for the inevitable third.