• HumanPenguin@feddit.uk
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    7 days ago

    When a trolly opposing party has over 20% of polling.

    Or at least until that point no opinion is seen as a threat. 20% is the number where potential seat wins become significant. Below that no party is seen as a threat.

    ATM the best chance of that is a agreement between left of centre parties. Your Party is likely to start matching greens soon. Given polls of potential support. They are likely to pick up a notable number of the left that stopped voting after Starmer.

    An refusal to compete in areas where one left party is the best option to beat the right. Signed early between green YP(when fully formed post Nov) and others. With a confidence and supply agreement when if gov is formed.

    Agreeing to this early in 2026 so all election polling is forced to take this deal into account. Will quickly scare a government that has openly rejected and taken left supporters for granted.

    Even if such an agreement is not able to beat reform polling. At 20% plus it will force Labour to appeal to their joint support. FPTP will no longer allow them to ignore the small splits once they represent a single national risk.