Based on current polling the conservatives would be lucky to get third place. Reform on track to get second or third place depending on the pole, Labour and the lib Dems are fighting for the top spot.
This graph has the Liberal Democrats at ~14%, the Conservatives at ~16%, Labour at ~20%, and Reform at ~32%.
A Liberal Democrat-Labour coalition might just edge out Reform, but Reform’s also rising, and Labour’s been getting hammered.
EDIT: Though, of course, this is just showing proportions of popular support, and first-past-the-post may cause that to not directly translate to seats.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election
This graph has the Liberal Democrats at ~14%, the Conservatives at ~16%, Labour at ~20%, and Reform at ~32%.
A Liberal Democrat-Labour coalition might just edge out Reform, but Reform’s also rising, and Labour’s been getting hammered.
EDIT: Though, of course, this is just showing proportions of popular support, and first-past-the-post may cause that to not directly translate to seats.