Based on current polling the conservatives would be lucky to get third place. Reform on track to get second or third place depending on the pole, Labour and the lib Dems are fighting for the top spot.
So if we had an election today it would probably result in a Labour + Lib Dem coalition in government and a Reform opposition (albeit one was so little voting capacity that they may as well not exist) with the Conservative sitting on the sidelines. In some very strange universe Reform and the Conservatives may actually just accept that they’re essentially the same party and former a coalition opposition, but I suspect the smugness of the few remaining Conservators will prevent that on this particular plane of existence.
Based on current polling the conservatives would be lucky to get third place. Reform on track to get second or third place depending on the pole, Labour and the lib Dems are fighting for the top spot.
This graph has the Liberal Democrats at ~14%, the Conservatives at ~16%, Labour at ~20%, and Reform at ~32%.
A Liberal Democrat-Labour coalition might just edge out Reform, but Reform’s also rising, and Labour’s been getting hammered.
EDIT: Though, of course, this is just showing proportions of popular support, and first-past-the-post may cause that to not directly translate to seats.
Based on current polling the conservatives would be lucky to get third place. Reform on track to get second or third place depending on the pole, Labour and the lib Dems are fighting for the top spot.
So if we had an election today it would probably result in a Labour + Lib Dem coalition in government and a Reform opposition (albeit one was so little voting capacity that they may as well not exist) with the Conservative sitting on the sidelines. In some very strange universe Reform and the Conservatives may actually just accept that they’re essentially the same party and former a coalition opposition, but I suspect the smugness of the few remaining Conservators will prevent that on this particular plane of existence.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election
This graph has the Liberal Democrats at ~14%, the Conservatives at ~16%, Labour at ~20%, and Reform at ~32%.
A Liberal Democrat-Labour coalition might just edge out Reform, but Reform’s also rising, and Labour’s been getting hammered.
EDIT: Though, of course, this is just showing proportions of popular support, and first-past-the-post may cause that to not directly translate to seats.