Image is of Gazans breaking their fast with the Iftar meal during the ongoing Ramadan.
Due to a request by @miz@hexbear.net, this thread’s COTW is Qatar.
The ceasefire deal broke down early last week after Israel unilaterally changed the terms of the agreement and then blamed Hamas for not meeting them. Violence against civilians has rapidly accelerated to pre-ceasefire levels, with many hundreds dead already, aid once again cut off, and Israeli soldiers once again entering and occupying the attritional labyrinth that is Gaza.
I’m not yet in a position to make any solid predictions or analysis, as the geopolitical situation in and around Israel has changed fairly substantially over the last 6 months; in some ways benefiting Israel, and in other ways not. We know for sure how Hamas and Ansarallah are reacting (thankfully, with open hostility to both Israel and the United States), but the state of Hezbollah has been a giant question mark for months now, and precisely what Iran plans to do (beyond the usual level of supplying weaponry and intelligence to all the allies it can) is unknown. Syria will be almost certainly be a big wildcard, and we’ll have to see if the compradors in Damascus can weather the storm.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the HexAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Update from Ryan Grim on the SECDEF Signals/Groyper Group Chat/Washington WhatsApps:
So the leak was either intentional by the National Security Advisor, or he didn’t realize what he was doing by sharing a Signal group chat with Goldberg. Waltz is a retired colonel who served with the Green Berets. I wonder if parts of the Pentagon are in revolt/trying to reign Trump in. Goldberg is burning a very high placed source by running this story.
Goldberg is a long time establishment journalist, he was one of the first to run the “Iraq has WMDs” stories. So that makes sense. This could also be used now to try get an excuse to remove Waltz. Trump has already sidelined him on Ukraine, so they could use this to get rid of him. Waltz leaking information to a rube like Goldberg might be the end of his presence in the Trump administration.
Also after reading the full article on The Atlantic, it doesn’t seem as if there was much classified information released. Discussions on the strike packages and weapons used, what was hit, and discussing which leaders were killed, is quite an open issue. Open source analysts do that all the time. Obviously Hegseth discussing it on signal just before, during, or after the strikes is a different matter, but it’s not like he just leaked the entire US warplan to the group chat. All the truly top secret stuff was discussed on the “high side”, and not on the signal group chat, according to the article. So Goldberg saying that the war plans were texted to him is pushing it slightly.
rube like Goldberg
RuBe like Goldberg
I didn’t read the article, but according to Ken Klippenstein, Goldberg said he held stuff back that might have “harmed” the US if our “adversaries” gold a hold of it. Basically just enough was released to probably get Waltz dismissed. Could have been a setup/canary trap? Goldberg’s connections to the IDF make this interesting, and again, kind of crazy to burn your source, the National Security Advisor, instead of keeping that info flowing for the next four years. Maybe he just figured someone was going to see his number on the group chat and figure it out eventually?
White House inadvertently texted top-secret Yemen war plans to journalist - The Guardian
Article
In extraordinary blunder top Trump cabinet members added Atlantic editor to chat discussing strikes on Houthis.
Senior members of Donald Trump’s cabinet have been involved in a serious security breach while discussing secret military plans for recent US attacks on the Houthi armed group in Yemen.
In an extraordinary blunder, key figures in the Trump administration – including the vice-president, JD Vance, the defence secretary Pete Hegseth, the secretary of state, Marco Rubio, and the director of national intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard – used the commercial chat app Signal to convene and discuss plans – while also including a prominent journalist in the group.
Signal is not approved by the US government for sharing sensitive information.
Others in the chat included the Trump adviser Stephen Miller; Trump’s chief of staff, Susie Wiles; and the key Trump envoy Steve Witkoff.
The breach was revealed in an article published on Monday by Jeffrey Goldberg, the editor of the Atlantic magazine, who discovered that he had been included in a Signal chat called “Houthi PC Small Group” and realising that 18 other members of the group included Trump cabinet members.
In his account, Goldberg said that he removed sensitive material from his account, including the identity of a senior CIA officer and current operational details.
The report was confirmed by Brian Hughes, a spokesperson for the national security council, who told the magazine: “This appears to be an authentic message chain, and we are reviewing how an inadvertent number was added to the chain.”
Hughes added: “The thread is a demonstration of the deep and thoughtful policy coordination between senior officials. The ongoing success of the Houthi operation demonstrates that there were no threats to troops or national security.”
Donald Trump told reporters at the White House that he was unaware of the incident. “I don’t know anything about it. I’m not a big fan of the Atlantic,” Trump said.
The White House press secretary, Karoline Leavitt, later released a statement saying: “President Trump continues to have the utmost confidence in his national security team, including National Security Advisor Mike Waltz.”
The incident is likely to further raise concerns over the Trump administration’s trustworthiness with intelligence shared by erstwhile allies – not least as Hegseth boasts at one stage of guaranteeing “100 percent OPSEC – operations security” while a celebrated journalist is reading his message.
The discussions seen by Goldberg include comments from Vance, who appeared unconvinced of the urgency of attacking Yemen, as well as conversations over what price should be expected of Europeans and other countries for the US removing the threat to a key global shipping route.
Security and intelligence commentators in the US described the breach of operational security as unprecedented – both for the use of a commercial chat service and for the inclusion of Goldberg.
In the US military, the highest political echelon and intelligence services operate under strict rules for communication of classified material and for the discussion of issues concerning operational security where lives and outcomes could be compromised by disclosure.
While Signal is regarded as a secure encrypted chat service, its weakness is that phones on which it is installed can themselves be vulnerable.
Among those aghast at the breach was the Democratic representative Pat Ryan, an army veteran who sits on the House armed services committee who described it using the second world war-era epithet “Fubar” – meaning “fucked up beyond all recognition”.
“If House Republicans won’t hold a hearing on how this happened IMMEDIATELY, I’ll do it my damn self.”
Shane Harris, a longtime national security reporter – formerly of the Washington Post and now with the Atlantic – wrote on BlueSky: “In 25 years of covering national security, I’ve never seen a story like this.”
Goldberg writes that he was initially dubious about whether the messages might be some kind of foreign disinformation operation, but became convinced they were genuine both because of the language and positions presented and because the plan discussed coincided with an actual attack on Yemen.
One striking exchange involved Vance and Hegseth making disparaging remarks about Europe.
“The account identified as ‘JD Vance’ addressed a message at 8:45 to @Pete Hegseth: ‘if you think we should do it let’s go. I just hate bailing Europe out again,’” Goldberg wrote. (The administration has argued that America’s European allies benefit economically from the US navy’s protection of international shipping lanes.)
Goldberg continues: “The user identified as Hegseth responded three minutes later: “VP: I fully share your loathing of European free-loading. It’s PATHETIC. But Mike is correct, we are the only ones on the planet (on our side of the ledger) who can do this.
“Nobody else even close. Question is timing. I feel like now is as good a time as any, given POTUS directive to reopen shipping lanes. I think we should go; but POTUS still retains 24 hours of decision space.”
In reality, about 20 countries are involved in the mission to protect shipping from Houthi attacks including British warships.
As Goldberg became aware of the attack on Yemen taking place, he recorded how he went back to the Signal channel:
“‘Michael Waltz’ [US national security adviser] had provided the group an update. Again, I won’t quote from this text, except to note that he described the operation as an ‘amazing job.’’’
A few minutes later, [another individual wrote]: “A good start.”
Not long after, Waltz responded with three emojis: a fist, an American flag and fire. Others soon joined in, including “MAR”, [Marco Rubio]. He wrote: “Good Job Pete and your team!!” and “Susie Wiles”. She texted: “Kudos to all – most particularly those in theater and CENTCOM! Really great. God bless.”
How Much Does It Cost To Replace A King?
One million dollars — at least that is the number given in the Danish monarchy’s yearly financial statement.
Read more...
Last January the royals spent DKK 6.5 mln. on the bloodless transfer of power from the aging queen Margrethe Glücksburg to her son and hand-picked successor Frederik Montpezat. Most of the money comes from an extra one-time transfer from the state to cover the succession. In the Nordic hermit kingdom there is always extra money for celebrating a spoilt nepo-baby, unlike for education or healthcare.
The money was spent on such things as severance payments, office redecoration, new uniforms and on changing the design of monograms, orders and medals. The amount does not cover the money spent by other governmental bodies during the transition, such as the cost of security at public appearances or the cost of redesigning coinage.
Yesterday, Israeli forces attempted to advance into the village of Kuwaya, west of Daraa in southern Syria, but were confronted by locals and fighters from the Islamic Resistance Front in Syria, who have previously clashed with Israeli forces
As a result, airstrikes were called in to support the advance of the IDF, leading to the deaths of at least 7 Syrian civilians. Yesterday alone, Israeli military actions led to the forced displacement of hundreds of Syrian families in the south. Earlier, Israeli warplanes attacked the ‘T-4’ Air Base in Palmyra. The IDF also seized multiple weapons and ammunition boxes in southern Syria.
Daily Israeli attacks on Syria have become the norm, often resulting in civilian deaths. Israel continues to not only strengthen and expand its occupation of Syria but also ensure that Syria is fully disarmed, denying it the right to have military equipment, even when Syria poses no threat, militarily or even in rhetoric.
- Telegram
Surely the HTS coalition will crumble if they allow IOF to conquer territory with impunity.
That would make logical sense but this world doesn’t seem to run on logic so they’re just going to keep trucking on with no consequence whatsoever, somehow.
The HTS govt is not propped up by popular support. it is propped up by a monopply of violence bestowed onto it by the Turkish government and its armed forces, which are the 2nd largest in NATO.
Turkey is completely fine with Israel given that Netanyahu allows them to conquer the Northern half of the country, so HTS will be propped up until that can be achieved.
Rabid settlers lynched Hamdan Ballal, Palestinian co-director of film No Other Land:
https://xcancel.com/yuval_abraham/status/1904235552620339365Fucking nazis of west asia. Imagine still trying to play “muh both sides” on this.
What the fuck
the fact that there are still Zionists doing both sideism and laughing in the replies show that this society is irredeemable
These are the most incompetent idiots that the US has ever had.
Trump administration accidentally texted secret bombing plans to a reporter
spoiler
A prominent journalist knew the US military would start bombing Houthi targets in Yemen two hours before it happened on March 15 because top Trump administration officials accidentally included the reporter on a Signal text chain in which they discussed the war plan.
Jeffrey Goldberg, editor-in-chief of The Atlantic magazine, described the surprising leak of sensitive military information in an article today. The National Security Council confirmed that the messages were real and said it is investigating how Goldberg was added to a thread in which the war information was discussed.
“The world found out shortly before 2 p.m. eastern time on March 15 that the United States was bombing Houthi targets across Yemen,” Goldberg wrote. “I, however, knew two hours before the first bombs exploded that the attack might be coming. The reason I knew this is that Pete Hegseth, the secretary of defense, had texted me the war plan at 11:44 a.m. The plan included precise information about weapons packages, targets, and timing.”
Goldberg’s article quotes numerous messages that appeared to come from Vice President JD Vance, Hegseth, and other Trump administration officials. Goldberg was first added to the text chain on March 11 by Michael Waltz, Trump’s national security adviser.
Goldberg initially “didn’t find it particularly strange that he might be reaching out to me,” though he considered that “someone could be masquerading as Waltz in order to somehow entrap me.” But over the next few days, Goldberg became increasingly convinced that the messages were authentic. Vance: “I just hate bailing Europe out again”
The text chat was labeled “Houthi PC small group,” and a message from Waltz indicated that he was convening a principals committee for top officials to discuss plans.
“I had very strong doubts that this text group was real, because I could not believe that the national-security leadership of the United States would communicate on Signal about imminent war plans,” Goldberg wrote. “I also could not believe that the national security adviser to the president would be so reckless as to include the editor-in-chief of The Atlantic in such discussions with senior US officials, up to and including the vice president.”
Using Signal in this way may have violated US law, Goldberg wrote. “Conceivably, Waltz, by coordinating a national-security-related action over Signal, may have violated several provisions of the Espionage Act, which governs the handling of ‘national defense’ information, according to several national-security lawyers interviewed by my colleague Shane Harris for this story,” he wrote.
Signal is not an authorized venue for sharing such information, and Waltz’s use of a feature that makes messages disappear after a set period of time “raises questions about whether the officials may have violated federal records law,” the article said. Adding a reporter to the thread “created new security and legal issues” by transmitting information to someone who wasn’t authorized to see it, “the classic definition of a leak, even if it was unintentional,” Goldberg wrote.
The account labeled “JD Vance” questioned the war plan in a Signal message on March 14. “I am not sure the president is aware how inconsistent this is with his message on Europe right now,” the message said. “There’s a further risk that we see a moderate to severe spike in oil prices. I am willing to support the consensus of the team and keep these concerns to myself. But there is a strong argument for delaying this a month, doing the messaging work on why this matters, seeing where the economy is, etc.”
The Vance account also stated, “3 percent of US trade runs through the suez. 40 percent of European trade does,” and “I just hate bailing Europe out again.” The Hegseth account responded that “I fully share your loathing of European free-loading. It’s PATHETIC,” but added that “we are the only ones on the planet (on our side of the ledger) who can do this.”
An account apparently belonging to Trump advisor Stephen Miller wrote, “As I heard it, the president was clear: green light, but we soon make clear to Egypt and Europe what we expect in return. We also need to figure out how to enforce such a requirement. EG, if Europe doesn’t remunerate, then what? If the US successfully restores freedom of navigation at great cost there needs to be some further economic gain extracted in return.” “Shocking recklessness”
Goldberg was mostly convinced that the text chain was real before the detailed war plans were sent. “After reading this chain, I recognized that this conversation possessed a high degree of verisimilitude,” Goldberg wrote. “The texts, in their word choice and arguments, sounded as if they were written by the people who purportedly sent them, or by a particularly adept AI text generator. I was still concerned that this could be a disinformation operation, or a simulation of some sort. And I remained mystified that no one in the group seemed to have noticed my presence. But if it was a hoax, the quality of mimicry and the level of foreign-policy insight were impressive.”
Goldberg declined to directly quote from the Hesgeth message containing war plans. “The information contained in them, if they had been read by an adversary of the United States, could conceivably have been used to harm American military and intelligence personnel, particularly in the broader Middle East, Central Command’s area of responsibility,” Goldberg wrote. “What I will say, in order to illustrate the shocking recklessness of this Signal conversation, is that the Hegseth post contained operational details of forthcoming strikes on Yemen, including information about targets, weapons the US would be deploying, and attack sequencing.”
The Vance account responded, “I will say a prayer for victory,” and two other users posted prayer emoji, according to Goldberg. Shortly after the bombings, Waltz posted in the Signal chat that the operation was a success, and several members of the group responded positively.
“The Signal chat group, I concluded, was almost certainly real,” Goldberg wrote. He removed himself from the group and contacted administration officials about the information leak. NSC reviewing how “inadvertent number was added”
Ars contacted the White House today, and we quickly received a response containing two statements about the Goldberg incident. The statements are the same as those included in The Atlantic article.
“This appears to be an authentic message chain, and we are reviewing how an inadvertent number was added to the chain,” said a statement attributed to a National Security Council spokesperson. “The thread is a demonstration of the deep and thoughtful policy coordination between senior officials. The ongoing success of the Houthi operation demonstrates that there were no threats to troops or national security.”
The other statement came from a spokesperson for Vance. “The Vice President’s first priority is always making sure that the President’s advisers are adequately briefing him on the substance of their internal deliberations,” the statement said. “Vice President Vance unequivocally supports this administration’s foreign policy. The President and the Vice President have had subsequent conversations about this matter and are in complete agreement.”
According to Goldberg, The Atlantic spoke with several former US officials who said they used Signal to share unclassified information, but “they knew never to share classified or sensitive information on the app, because their phones could have been hacked by a foreign intelligence service.”
“I have never seen a breach quite like this,” Goldberg wrote. “It is not uncommon for national-security officials to communicate on Signal. But the app is used primarily for meeting planning and other logistical matters—not for detailed and highly confidential discussions of a pending military action. And, of course, I’ve never heard of an instance in which a journalist has been invited to such a discussion.”
This guy isn’t your average brainless liberal. He moved to Israel during the First Intifada to be an IDF prison guard of abducted protestors. He 100% approves of dead Yemenis, and not reporting it before they died makes him complicit in the war crimes
An addendum to the above for those unaware, the first intifada was a peaceful protest where the protesters were either murdered or maimed; IDF troops competed to see who could shoot the most knees.
Son of former president faces possible treason charges for working with US politicians to attack Brazil’s judiciary.
Article
Brazilian Liberal Party lawmaker Eduardo Bolsonaro, son of indicted former President Jair Bolsonaro and South American representative for CPAC, took a leave of absence from Congress today and announced he will remain in the United States to escape “political persecution” and pressure U.S. officials to impose sanctions against Alexandre de Moraes—one of Brazil’s 11 Supreme Court Ministers—in an attempt to keep his father out of jail.
It is no secret that Eduardo Bolsonaro has been close to Steve Bannon and other key figures in Donald Trump’s circle since 2018. Similarities in billionaire-funded social media tactics used by Trump and the Bolsonaros are living testament to this, and the closeness that Eduardo has to leaders of the American far right is also demonstrated by his presence at the January 5, 2021, “war council” meeting in Washington, hosted by Mike Lindell on the eve of the U.S. Capitol invasion.
Eduardo Bolsonaro immediately swung into action, contacting friends in the Republican Party and private sector alike. The next day, Rumble and Truth Social filed a frivolous lawsuit against Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes, who was in charge of the investigation against his father. On February 24, Republican Congressman Rich McCormick released a public letter to President Trump and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, in which he called for punitive actions against Moraes, including “Magnitsky sanctions, immediate visa bans, and economic penalties.”
On February 27, Workers’ Party Congressmen Lindbergh Farias and Rogério Correia filed a criminal complaint with the Attorney General’s Office against Eduardo Bolsonaro for conspiring against Brazil with members of a foreign government.
“The individual in question, completely disconnected from reality and acting against Brazil’s national interests, is encouraging a foreign government to impose retaliatory measures against his own country and one of the justices of the Supreme Federal Court,” reads a section of the complaint. Judging him a probable flight risk due to his network of connections in the American far right, they requested that the Federal Police confiscate his passport. Time has proven them correct, but the police did not act quickly enough.
On March 13, the net began to tighten around Jair Bolsonaro as the Attorney General’s Office officially upheld the indictment against Bolsonaro and his cronies, after a procedural period in which they were allowed to present their defense arguments. The Supreme Court then set March 25 as the date for the final review of evidence before formally setting a trial date.
This put Eduardo Bolsonaro in a quandary. With a complaint already filed against him for illegally abusing the power of his office to lobby for intervention in Brazil’s internal affairs by a foreign government—a crime so serious that, in theory, it could result in charges of treason—he had to choose between keeping his position as Congressman and complying with national security laws, or renouncing and moving to Florida, like so many right-wing Latin American politicians before him.
Bolsonaro is claiming his leave will be temporary, but going on leave of absence will not shield him from criminal prosecution for abuse of authority, crimes against the judiciary, and violation of national security laws. Like all Members of Congress, he enjoys a certain level of parliamentary immunity, but can still be investigated and tried by the same Supreme Court that he has been publicly attacking for the past five years. So if, as he announced on his social media today, his plan is to stay in the U.S. to find some way to “punish Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes,” he will probably have to stay there for a long time. The question is, how much damage can he do to Brazil’s national sovereignty while he’s up there?
MILEI BROKE A WORLD RECORD: We (Argentina) are the country with the largest industrial decline on the planet.
A report by the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO in Latin America and the Caribbean) indicates that Argentina, with a 9.4% decline, was the country that suffered the largest industrial decline in the world in 2024, the first year of Javier Milei’s administration. Furthermore, due to greater trade openness announced by the government, the organization foresees a worrying 2025 for the sector.
Campeón del Mundo Carajo!!
Captain Ancap
Captain Anprim
???
Fully convinced by the last couple weeks that Schumer’s on his way out and is taking as many bullets for the team as he can.
Yeah, he’s the new villain of the week so the rest of the party looks better by comparison (except to those of us actually paying attention and keeping grudges)
Iran might get nuked tonight or tomorrow … there are 5-7 B2 on diego garcia and Russia has send the strategic coperation Agreement to the Parlament for Approval . So the Timewindow for a Act like this is closing fast.
I can’t imagine a world where the US carries out a preemptive nuclear strike on a non-nuclear nation.
If Iran sunk a carrier fleet that might happen though.
that literally allready happend and it had splendid results for the perpetrator
True, but that was when the US was the only nuclear nation. No chance for anyone to respond because… they couldn’t.
I don’t think the US is beyond proliferation of nuclear warfare nowadays, but in terms of technology the US doesnt have the monopoly like it did in 1945.
No, it didn’t. The US was at war with Japan and had already invaded Japanese territories. The nuclear strikes we not pre-emptive.
And back then the horrific nature of nuclear war was not yet fully understood. People were still thinking of nukes as just being really big bombs.
Ignorant nothing ever happens Lurker here, can you explain why this tweet is an indication of nukes being dropped on Iran? Seems like that won’t be very good and would result in a lot of things happening
It’s not an indication of nukes being dropped on Iran, but it is an indication that the assets which would be used to attack Iran (B-2 Spirit stealth bombers in Diego Garcia, 12 F-35As in Saudi Arabia) are being put in place to attack Iran. Such an attack would most likely be conventional, if it happens.
Thank you for the information
In the unlikely (but becoming more likely) event that the US attacks Iran, and in the extremely unlikely event that it goes nuclear, the nuclear option would most likely come from submarines, in the form of submarine launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs). No one knows where the submarines are, and Iran would get minutes of warning, if that, from their over the horizon Ghadir early warning radars
deleted by creator
Do you happen to have a sense of how far Iran could be from having a nuke that could credibly hit Tel Aviv? Enough to let the US know there’s a reasonable chance that a nuclear attack on Iran will likely destroy the Zionist entity?
Iran has the delivery method (ballistic missiles that can penetrate Israeli air defences), but no nuclear devices/warheads, and not enough enriched uranium to make them. The problem for Iran is not a technical issue, they have the capability to make a nuclear weapon. The problem is that as soon as they start enrichment to the required levels and the USA becomes aware of it, it’s basically a massive sign saying “please attack Iran now”. So to create a nuclear weapon without being attacked, Iran essentially needs a “conventional form of MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction)” before making nuclear weapons, to prevent attacks on Iran itself while making nuclear weapons. North Korea had this in artillery aimed at Seoul. Or they need to secretly make hundreds of nuclear warheads without US and Israeli intelligence assets becoming aware of it. Both are huge challenges.
Iran essentially needs a “conventional form of MAD (Mutually Assured Destruction)” before making nuclear weapons, to prevent attacks on Iran itself while making nuclear weapons.
Their MAD can be “we’ll launch ballistic missiles at every single Israeli desalination plant if we get nuked.” Israeli desalination plants account for >75% of Israeli domestic water consumption. And most of the desalination comes from 5 facilities. That webpage is hyping up their desalination tech, but I’ve seen similar numbers from other sources.
I don’t think destroying every single plant would completely cut off their ability to have drinkable water since most of the water is going towards agriculture and they can always go back to pumping freshwater from the Sea of Galilee, but it will completely cripple the Zionist entity’s ability to grow crops.
North Korea had this in artillery aimed at Seoul
Does Iran not have the same in artillery aimed at Tel Aviv?
I dont think AmeriKKKa would be so stupid to do that but I could be convinced otherwise. They might do a strike on Isfahan or something (and tbf using something like a MOAB isn’t far off a tactical nuke in yield).
Even if the nuke was effective in its target, Iran would immediately flatten Israel with the rest of its missile silos (the US would have to expend a lot of its stockpile to disable Iranian missile bases that number hundreds), and they still might have nuclear capabilities within a short time period with almost everyone in Iranian politics begging Khameini to lift his fatwa against Nuclear armament (he’d likely change face if the US nuked them).
The B-2s are probably going to do something really stupid and aggressive against the houthis. Maybe even fly over Iran on the way to Yemen just to prove they can penetrate Iranian AA networks. But even for Trump and Hesgeth the crown jewel of nuking Iran without consequence is far from reality, and likely will never occur (without consequence) since the pact is due to be signed as you said.
I really don’t think a MOAB would be used against Iran, for the reasons listed in the below comment. Most likely bomb to be used would be the MOP from the B-2.
If Democrats bend over to appease Republicans being upset about Jasmine Crockett making fun of Greg Abbott (using nickname that Texans have called him for years) they honestly should just pack it up.
Jasmine Crockett
That’s the new face that the Dems have been trying to push big time, from the little I’ve seen of her, apparently she’s full neocon towards Russia. Maybe she flew too close to the sun for the Dem establishment now? “Governor Hot Wheels” is probably not going to go over well on a wider level.
The only people really complaining about the “hot wheels” joke are conservatives who would be laughing if it were Trump calling some Democrat it. Go to Twitter and search her name or hot wheels, and it’s just a who’s who of the mist insufferable chuds crying about it.
Crockett is whatever politically, she’s vaguely “progressive” but has also been clearly been singled out as a “rising star” by the establishment because she comes from very safe seat and is good at getting headlines.
Fire sale of personal data
rest in piss
Former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro (who is already ineligible) becomes defendant in coup investigation. Bolsonaro complains after the verdict, accuses the Chinese government, the University of São Paulo, the Workers’ Party (Lula’s party) and Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes of persecuting him.
Bolsonaro says that Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes personally attacked him by mentioning the day Bolsonaro got up on a stage and shouted that he was “infuckable”. And Bolsonaro also insists that there was fraud in the 2018 and 2022 elections, in the case of 2018, he says he won in the first round, but never presented proof. Bolsonaro also said that Lula da Silva and Vice President Geraldo Alckimin were terrorists because they had both met with members of Hamas in Iran. He also said that Lula sold Brazil to China and that he needs support from the United States.
He also accuses the Chinese government and the Brazilian left of having lobbied to block any attempt to grant amnesty to him, his sons and his allies who were arrested for the January 8th coup attempt. Bolsonaro once again calls Lula corrupt and says that Lula’s voters are criminals who take government handouts instead of working. He also says that his last demonstration in Rio de Janeiro had 3.5 million people present there in favor of amnesty, while the University of São Paulo said there were only 18,000 people.
- Telegram
After ex-President Jair Bolsonaro was formally charged with leading an armed criminal organization to plot a military coup by the Supreme Court today, he said, “discussing hypotheses isn’t a crime.” Not only is he wrong, he’s confessed again. I’ll explain why here: Bolsonaro’s argument that merely discussing a coup is not illegal fails because:
- Intent matters: If discussions involve planning, recruitment, or incitement, they cross into criminal conspiracy.
- National security laws do not require the coup to succeed—preparatory acts (like organizing meetings, securing weapons, or drafting plans) are already crimes;
- Brazilian courts have ruled that even theoretical planning can be punishable if it shows a concrete threat to democracy.
In Tokyo, Brazil’s President Lula said there’s no use for ex-President Bolsonaro to pretend he’s being persecuted. "It’s clear that the ex-president tried to stage a coup in Brazil. It is clear that he tried to help plan my assassination. “and the assassinations of the vice president and the former president of the Brazilian Electoral Court. […] He knows what he did. There’s no use begging for amnesty before the trial, that amounts to saying, ‘I’m guilty.’ He should focus on trying to prove his innocence.”
It was only a conspiracy, your honor.
Bolsonaro’s entire defense argument is: “Well, Justice Alexandre de Moraes can’t judge me, because he’s biased since I tried to kill him. It’s unfair for me!”
Huh, punyeta si Bolsonaro.